The black swan is a standalone book in nassim nicholas talebs landmark incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error. Moonlight best shifter novel of the year, 20 knights of black swan 5. The book focuses on the extreme impact of rare and unpredictable outlier events and the human tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events, retrospectively. These are the unknown unknowns that are impossible to predict. Oorspronkelijke titel, the black swan the impact of the highly improbable. Enter your mobile number or email address below and well send you a link to download the free kindle app. In this revelatory book, taleb explains everything we know about what we dont know, and shows us how to face the world. A central idea in talebs book is not to attempt to predict black swan events, but to build robustness to negative events and an ability to exploit positive events. Nassim nicholas taleb is an essayist, belletrist, and researcher only interested in one single topic, chance particularly extreme and rare events, the black swans i. The term black swan, coined by nassim taleb, is used to describe extreme outliers, and their disproportionate impact on history. In striving to enrich the lives of all readers, teachingbooks supports the first amendment and celebrates the right to read. A black swan is an event or occurrence that deviates beyond what is normally expected of a situation and is extremely difficult to predict.
Beware of the black swan the book takes its title from the story that says prior to the discovery of the australian back swan, everyone in the world assumed all swans were. The black swan is a standalone book in nassim nicholas talebs landmark incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability. A summoners tale best paranormal romance novel of the year, 20 knights of black swan 4. Carte postale ancienne lyon au parc le refuge des cygnes swan and a great selection of related books, art and collectibles available now at. The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of. This book is about the absolutely unexpected, the black swan you would never suspect if you only saw white swans all your life. The main characters missy and claire start noticing how they really resemble each other, they both look identical and have similar personalities. Until the 19th century and the discovery of mutant black swans in australia, it was assumed all swans were white. The chatter in the market may be bullish but there is a real danger that something could go wrongsomething no one is talking about now but will be once. Lives are in the balance in bestselling author caroline b.
Cooneys newest young adult thriller, three black swans. The impact of the highly improbable is a 2007 book by author and former options trader nassim nicholas taleb. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal ch. The black swan is a standalone book in nassim nicholas talebs landmark incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decisionmaking in a world we dont understand. Owner nicholas cooke talked about his antiquarian book store, black swan books cspans local content vehicles lcvs made a stop in their 2017 lcv cities tour in richmond, virginia.
908 236 1468 836 1542 227 1266 789 543 830 1232 356 364 1124 1324 1343 249 1514 334 142 471 1517 526 785 1274 713 550 1239 1215 1122 3 234 165 457 90 348 1475 837 537 768